The world faces a pivotal contest between democracy and authoritarianism. Autocracies now outnumber democracies for the first time in 20 years, with 91 autocracies versus 88 democracies, affecting 72% of the global population. This reversal marks 25 years of autocratization, with 45 countries declining and only 19 advancing democratically.
Global Decline of Democracy
Even established democracies are eroding, with losses in freedom of expression in 44 countries and clean elections declining in 25. The United States exemplifies this trend, undergoing its fastest autocratization episode as political scientists rate it closer to ‘Illiberal’ Than ‘Strong Democracy’. Regional declines span Eastern Europe, Asia, North America, and Western Europe.
Rise of Authoritarian Regimes
Authoritarian systems are consolidating power through repression, media control, and unfair elections. Closed autocracies number 35, electoral ones 56, with influential powers like China exporting their model. Hybrid “competitive authoritarian” regimes blur lines, allowing limited competition while restricting opposition.
Implications for the Future
This shift challenges global order, as nations navigate between models amid polarization and violence. While some resist through civic mobilization, the authoritarian wave demands urgent democratic renewal to safeguard rights and institutions.
A group of political scientists has delivered a stark assessment of American democracy. Bright Line Watch, composed of academics from…